The private sector working group on euro risk-free rates has published a report containing recommendations, from a risk management perspective, on the transition to new risk-free rates. The analysis conducted in the report consists of: (i) general risk management considerations; (ii) risk management implications of transitioning from EONIA to the euro short-term rate (€STR); (iii) risk management implications of €STR-based fallback rates for EURIBOR; and (iv) additional risk management considerations for the asset management and insurance sectors.
At its meeting on 26 September 2019, the General Board of the European Systemic Risk Board (ESRB) discussed the rising threat of protectionism and the geopolitical uncertainties that have led to a further deterioration in the outlook for growth. In this context, markets are expecting that the interest rates remain low for a prolonged period of time. As a result, financial market repricing, the balance sheet vulnerabilities of European Union (EU) financial institutions and unsustainable indebtedness remain the main risks to financial stability in the EU. The weaker economic outlook could further increase the vulnerabilities of EU financial institutions and pose a challenge to debt sustainability in the public and private sectors.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU’s securities markets regulator, has published its 2020 Work Programme (WP), setting out its priorities and areas of focus for the next 12 months in support of its mission to enhance investor protection and promote stable and orderly financial markets.
Following the significant pickup in the issuance of leveraged loans and collateralised loan obligations (CLOs) in the US and EU, supervisors have expressed concerns about the potential risk to investors.
The 2019 Autumn ESAs’ report highlights the following risks as potential sources of instability: Uncertainties around the terms of the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from the European Union; Persistently low interest rates, which combined with flattening yield curves, put pressure on the profitability and returns of financial institutions, incentivise search-for-yield strategies and increase valuation risks; and Transition to a more sustainable economy and environmental, social and governance (ESG) related risks, leading to possible challenges to the viability of business models with high exposures to climate sensitive sectors.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU’s securities regulator, has published the second Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities (TRV) report for 2019. The report identifies a deteriorating outlook for the asset management industry and continued very high market risk. Recent trade tensions have triggered renewed volatility, and concerns over a no-deal Brexit remain key risk drivers for the second half of 2019.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA), the EU’s securities markets’ regulator, has developed a framework to be used for stress simulations for the investment fund sector. The method developed by ESMA is presented in detail in its Economic Report published today, and is accompanied by a case study where it is applied to 6,000 UCITS bond funds.
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision finalised the new standardised approach (SA) for operational risk capital, as published in the final Basel III standards in December 2017. To promote consistent global implementation of those requirements, the Committee has agreed to periodically review frequently asked questions (FAQs) and publish answers along with any technical elaboration of the standards text and interpretative guidance that may be necessary.
Working Paper Series No 2306 / August 2019
Prepared by Maria Teresa Chimienti, Urszula Kochanska and Andrea Pinna